YORKSHIRE'S economy may be experiencing the calm before the storm, despite the fact that the region recorded a drop in company administrations over the first quarter of 2008, according to professional services firm Deloitte.
Figures published by Deloitte yesterday, showed that the number of administrations in Yorkshire and the Humber fell by more than 13 per cent to 85 during the first three months of 2008, when compared with the same period last year.
In the North Ea
st the figure rose by 26.7 per cent to 19 and in the North West by 44.1 per cent to 147.
Across the UK, the manufacturing industries had 107 appointments over the first quarter but this figure was nearly 40 per cent lower than a year ago at 175.
The property, construction and electrical installation and plumbing sector saw a rise of 59 appointments to 168, a 54.1 per cent increase. Appointments in retailing were down from 98 to 56.
Ian Brown, reorganisation services partner at Deloitte in Leeds, said: "The sectors which are having trouble are obviously property and construction as well as anything which tangents on property. No doubt, in time, retail will be affected by the negative sentiment generated by falling house prices and the fact that people feel less well off."
He added: "Given the current economic climate, it is surprising to see a 43 per cent fall in the number of retail businesses that went into administration this year, compared with the year before. In the manufacturing sector, we have seen nearly a 40 per cent drop in administrations from the previous year. While the credit crunch bites hard in the City, with lenders all but closed for business at the larger end of the market, the pain has yet to be felt as severely in the manufacturing and retail industries.
"The data demonstrates that it takes some time for shifts in the economic cycle to affect profits, administrations, and unemployment levels. It also suggests that the downturn may be felt for some time to come. It is unlikely that these relatively positive administration levels will continue throughout this year.
"While the overall retail figures are down, in April we have seen a rise in household related retailers, selling furniture, carpets and electrical goods, going into administration.
"When consumers start to feel the pinch, discretionary expenditure, including improving the house, is one of the first items to be struck off the shopping list. The rise in administrations in the construction industry is another indicator that both consumers and developers are preparing for a harsher financial climate."
Mr Brown said the drop in manufacturing administrations this year suggested the sector may be in reasonable health.
He added: "While the devalued pound may not be having the gold-rush effect some had predicted, the UK manufacturing industry may be buoyed by its evolution from an expensive mass-producer to a world-leading developer of innovative products.
"There have been recent reports, however, of a slow down in output in the sector, so it may be that a less positive story lies ahead. Food manufacturing and, in particular, bakeries are one group of manufacturers who have been hit hard by the rise in cost of foodstuff raw materials."
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