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Thursday, 21st August 2008

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BA shares dip over fears for airline profits



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Shares in British Airways fell sharply yesterday as City gloom deepened over the airline's trading outlook.
The shares fell four per cent, down 10.25p to 222.75p.

One analyst warned that oil prices remaining at current record levels could send BA's operating profit plunging from £870m to as low as £25m.

There were also fears that a financial sector s
lowdown and increased competition could hit its most profitable routes across the Atlantic, sending shares as much as seven per cent lower.

The warnings came just days after the carrier posted record pre-tax profits of £883m, paid a dividend for the first time since 2001, and rewarded staff with a £35m bonus pool.

Chief executive Willie Walsh said the results made him feel like he had "won the Premier League", but he warned about difficulties lying ahead this year thanks to high fuel costs.

Mr Walsh said the airline faced spending an extra £1bn on fuel this year if prices remained around the 120 dollar a barrel mark.

Crude currently costs around 125 US dollars, having risen around 30 per cent this year alone.

Andrew Lobbenberg of ABN Amro yesterday cut the airline to a sell recommendation, citing the punishing cost of oil and looming travel cutbacks.

"We struggle to understand how the challenges facing the financial services industries are not affecting the transatlantic premium business and we think that in time BA will see weakness in this key
segment," Mr Lobbenberg said.

He added that the recently signed Open Skies agreement which allows carriers to fly across the Atlantic from other countries could also have an impact on trading.

Mr Lobbenberg said oil remaining at 120 US dollars could see BA's operating profits come in at just £25m this financial year if BA's other forecasts such as four per cent revenue growth and a £200m rise in non-fuel costs remained the same.

This would see the operating margin drop as low as 0.3 per cent, compared to 10 per cent for the past year.

He said the airline faced having to axe some routes later this year to cope with the higher fuel costs.

"We expect BA will lower its capacity in the winter, in particular targeting its weakest performing capacity, which we believe is the short haul operations from Gatwick," he said.

"We imagine BA will also make considerable efforts to reduce its non-fuel costs."



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  • Last Updated: 20 May 2008 8:54 AM
  • Source: n/a
  • Location: Yorkshire
 
 

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