Thomas Cook set to reveal the full impact of Summer heatwave

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Holiday giant Thomas Cook is expected to lay bare the impact of a European heatwave and a fall in demand for last-minute trips abroad when it unveils falling profits next week.

A consensus of City analysts expects the firm to post a 15 per cent dive in underlying operating profit to £280m for the full year to September. It comes after the FTSE 250-listed group said earlier this year that an “unprecedented” period of hot weather across the continent meant more people spent June and July at home.

Thomas Cook’s current trading performance should have improved or at least stabilised since it warned over profits in September. Holiday bookings for European destinations have not waned, broker Numis said.

Kathryn Leonard, analyst at Numis, said: “The data suggests that demand has improved since Thomas Cook last reported. Indeed, the growth of keyword search terms versus the prior year have, on average, improved by circa 5 per cent in the UK and by circa 17 per cent in the Nordics.”

Adding credence to the data, budget carriers easyJet recently said that forward bookings for next summer are “slightly ahead” of this summer, while Ryanair said Brexit had not affected demand from UK or European consumers.

Numis said the comments from airlines are “supportive for the wider UK-listed travel sector, as investors remain vigilant of any slowdown in demand and later booking cycle”, which would negatively impact profitability and working capital.