IT IS hard to know what to expect when Yorkshire Carnegie host Doncaster Knights tomorrow.
That seems an absurd thing to write.
It has always been a given when these derby rivals meet: a full-blooded, hard-fought and often entertaining encounter.
Indeed, all of that will probably be the same again at Emerald Headingley tomorrow.
However, what is harder to gauge is the reaction off the field and around the ground given the opaque situation Carnegie find themselves in, following the announcement earlier this week that they will be changing to a part-time status in 2019-20.
It is an almighty climbdown for a club that had been talking about making a concerted push for the Premiership next term. You have to feel for the players and staff who have worked so hard this term to turn things around.
Let us not forget, Carnegie were bottom of the Championship at Christmas but have risen up to sixth following a wonderful turnaround in form.
With some further investment in this squad – on the back of the recruitment done in November – you could genuinely see them advancing again and having a real crack at promotion next season.
But the money isn’t there. It never has been.
They have been searching for investment, seeking the millions required to have the muscle to go toe to toe with whoever is imminently relegated from the top flight in the race for a Premiership place.
And, like so many sporting organisations, without the benevolence of outside influences, the numbers simply do not stack up.Dave Craven
Even now, the club continues to say it is looking for new investment in time for next term. They may as well say they are waiting to win the Lottery.
The club says around £5m has been pumped in by shareholders and other capital providers over the last four years but that fund is now dry.
And, like so many sporting organisations, without the benevolence of outside influences, the numbers simply do not stack up.
Crowds, for one, are simply not big enough at Headingley, there is not enough interest – from the public and commercially – to sustain it and it was perhaps inevitable that this would eventually happen.
Yet former player Andy Saull made the salient point earlier this week how Leeds’ two universities could attract an attendance of more than 15,000 to watch the annual Varsity game at Headingley.
Carnegie average barely 1,500 per match. For whatever reason, the club has not been able to drive crowds up and, because of that, it has been walking a tightrope ever since being relegated in 2011, every year in the Championship slowly sucking the life out of them.
While perhaps understandable, the controversial name change from Leeds Carnegie to Yorkshire Carnegie in 2014 has failed miserably and not had the desired effect of broadening the club’s appeal across the county.
It is strange to think tomorrow could be the last time Carnegie and Doncaster meet as full-time opponents.
Knights – who reached the Championship play-off final in 2016 – continue to harbour hopes of eventually making the top-flight themselves.
They will face similar problems, though, and, unfortunately for Championship clubs, the chasm between the two competitions only seems likely to grow bigger.
Both clubs have been served a reminder of what can happen going the other way with neighbours Rotherham Titans – twice of the Premiership – having dropped out of the second tier last year.
Carnegie will be desperate to avoid following that fate but, for those going to watch tomorrow, plenty will realise this could be the last time they see Carnegie in this guise.
The player exodus is inevitable but expect them to go out fighting over the next three weeks.