Premier League predictions: Experts forecast every game on Sunday - including Man United, Newcastle, Leeds United, Arsenal, Chelsea, Man City and Liverpool matches

The Premier League has a busy fixture list on Sunday – and data experts have made their predictions for how every game will play out.

Data experts at FiveThirtyEight have crunched the numbers to provide the most likely outcome in every game.

FiveThirtyEight makes their predictions by using their ratings for each team and then simulating fixtures thousands of times to produce the likelihood of every possible outcome for each match.

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On Saturday, under-fire Leicester boss Brendan Rodgers says he is not expecting the sack despite fans calling for his head after the 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace in the lunchtime kick-off.

NOTTINGHAM, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 10: A Nike Flight Premier League match ball is seen on a 'No Room for Racism' campaign plinth prior to the Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa at City Ground on October 10, 2022 in Nottingham, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)NOTTINGHAM, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 10: A Nike Flight Premier League match ball is seen on a 'No Room for Racism' campaign plinth prior to the Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa at City Ground on October 10, 2022 in Nottingham, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)
NOTTINGHAM, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 10: A Nike Flight Premier League match ball is seen on a 'No Room for Racism' campaign plinth prior to the Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa at City Ground on October 10, 2022 in Nottingham, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)

Later in the afternoon, Jose Sa continued to shrug off a broken wrist to become Wolves’ penalty hero and plunge Nottingham Forest into deeper trouble.

Aleksandar Mitrovic scored a second-half equaliser as Fulham twice came from behind to secure a point in a 2-2 Premier League draw against Bournemouth.

On Friday night, Ivan Toney scored twice as Brentford defeated Brighton while in the Saturday evening game, Tottenham Hotspur claimed victory over Everton.

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Experts have made their predictions for the most likely outcome of the final five games this weekend. Agree with the below forecasts?

FiveThirtyEight’s Premier League Predictions – Sunday, October 16

Fixture Home win Draw Away win
Aston Villa v Chelsea 25% 26% 50%
Man United v Newcastle 49% 23% 28%
Southampton v West Ham 36% 26% 38%
Leeds United v Arsenal 21% 22% 58%
Liverpool v Man City 33% 21% 45%
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