Super-computer predicts Leeds United will miss out on Premier League's top half with Liverpool revival and Manchester United's lowest finish since David Moyes
Sunday's 0-0 draw with Aston Villa moved the Whites up to 12th in the Premier League, a point behind Brentford and Everton with a game in hand.
But the FiveThirtyEight super-computer, which uses a complex mathematical formula to predict end-of-season league tables, suggests they should not build their hopes up.
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Hide AdIt thinks Jesse Marsch's side will finish 14th, five points above the relegation zone.
Position | Team | Points |
13th | Everton | 43 |
14th | Leeds United | 43 |
15th | Leicester City | 42 |
16th | Fulham | 41 |
17th | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 40 |
18th | Southampton | 40 |
19th | Bournemouth | 35 |
20th | Nottingham Forest | 29 |
Nottingham Forest, managerless Bournemouth and Southampton (on goal difference) are the sides tipped to go down. Leeds' chances of relegation are reckoned to be 19 per cent, compared to 71 per cent for newly-promoted Forest.
At the other end, Brighton and Hove Albion are predicted to break up the "Big Six" by finishing above Manchester United despite recently losing manager Graham Potter. The Seagulls drew their first game without him, holding Liverpool to a 3-3 draw under Roberto De Zerbi, and currently sit fourth.
Former York City defender Potter left for Chelsea, who are tipped to miss out on the Champions League places by finishing fifth.
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Hide AdJurgen Klopp's Reds are ninth, but are predicted to finish third, below Arsenal only on goal difference.
Position | Team | Points |
1st | Manchester City | 88 |
2nd | Arsenal | 73 |
3rd | Liverpool | 73 |
4th | Tottenham Hotspur | 67 |
5th | Chelsea | 66 |
6th | Brighton and Hove Albion | 62 |
7th | Manchester United | 61 |
Manchester United are tipped to finish seventh, their lowest finish since David Moyes and Ryan Giggs were their managers in 2013-14. Depending on the outcome of the cup competitions, that would probably put them in the Europa Conference League.