Supercomputer predicts where Leeds United, Everton, Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa, West Ham, Southampton and Wolves will finish in Premier League relegation battle

Data experts have tipped Leeds United, West Ham and Everton for Premier League survival with all three clubs currently sitting dangerously close to the relegation places.

The Whites lost 4-3 at Tottenham Hotspur in their final game before the World Cup break but back-to-back wins in their previous two outings has eased the pressure on head coach Jesse Marsch who now has until December 28 to work with his squad.

Only three Leeds players – Rasmus Kristensen, Brenden Aaronson and Tyler Adams – will be in Qatar for the tournament leaving Marsch with the chance to get his ideas across to the majority of his players as the Whites aim to regroup before facing Manchester City in their first game back at the end of December.

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Data experts at FiveThirtyEight have predicted how the table will look after 38 games by predicting the final points tally for every team while also rating the probability of relegation for each club.

The company uses a formula to calculate their findings by giving each team an attacking and defensive rating based on recent results before simulating seasons thousands of times to come up with their forecast for the final table.

Nottingham Forest, Wolves and Bournemouth are the three teams currently tipped to be relegated while Everton are forecast to escape the drop on virtue of goal difference. Their probability of relegation is rated at 41 per cent by the experts.

West Ham are tipped to finish 13th with their chances of relegation just 10 per cent as it stands – Fulham and Southampton are also forecast to finish outside the drop zone.

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Leeds are predicted to finish six points clear of the bottom three while their probability of relegation is rated at 17 per cent. The full predicted table is below – any surprises?

LONDON, ENGLAND - NOVEMBER 12: Rodrigo Moreno of Leeds United celebrates after scoring their team's third goal during the Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on November 12, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)LONDON, ENGLAND - NOVEMBER 12: Rodrigo Moreno of Leeds United celebrates after scoring their team's third goal during the Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on November 12, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - NOVEMBER 12: Rodrigo Moreno of Leeds United celebrates after scoring their team's third goal during the Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on November 12, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)

FiveThirtyEight’s predicted Premier League table

Team Predicted points
Man City 84
Arsenal 81
Liverpool 69
Man United 68
Newcastle 67
Tottenham 66
Chelsea 61
Brighton 59
Crystal Palace 48
Aston Villa 48
Brentford 47
Leicester City 47
West Ham 47
Fulham 44
Leeds United 42
Southampton 38
Everton 36
Bournemouth 36
Wolves 33
Nottingham Forest 32