Supercomputer predicts new outcome in Premier League title race between Arsenal and Man City as fate predicted for Liverpool, Chelsea and Spurs plus where Leeds United will finish

The Gunners twice came from from behind at Villa Park before a dramatic own goal in stoppage time from former Arsenal goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez helped them claim a 4-2 win.

The ball struck the back of the Argentine’s head after Jorginho’s strike from the edge of the area came back off the crossbar. Gabriel Martinelli sealed the win as he tapped into an empty net after Martinez had gone up for a corner.

Ollie Watkins and Philippe Coutinho twice put the home side ahead but a stunning Bukayo Saka volley and a precise Oleksandr Zinchenko finish put Arsenal on level terms.

“I feel it’s right back,” Arteta replied when asked about the confidence of his squad. “Back with more belief than before because you have to turn performances into results.

“Against Brentford we did that but we couldn’t win it because of a decision – fine. Against Manchester City we deserved more with the performance, but the reality is that in football the games are decided in the boxes.

“Today, we have to put something else and there’s still a lot of things to improve, we have to be humble enough to see those things, recognise those things, work on them.

“You don’t have to produce as much as we do every single game to win games. Smaller margins should be enough to win games in this league consecutively and we have to improve that.”

Man City had gone top of the league three days earlier having won 3-1 at the Emirates Stadium but Pep Guardiola’s men were held to a 1-1 draw at Nottingham Forest to fall two points behind Arsenal, who have a game in hand.

Data experts at FiveThirtyEight have crunched the numbers to predict who will come out on top in the title race and where every side will finish after 38 games.

FiveThirtyEight’s predicted Premier League table