Supercomputer predicts final League One table - Derby County tipped to pip Ipswich Town and Sheffield Wednesday to title as Barnsley, Peterborough, Portsmouth and Bolton fight for play-off spots
Data experts at FiveThirtyEight have crunched the numbers to deliver a prediction on each team’s final points and the chances of every side being promoted or relegated.
It was a mixed night for Yorkshire’s third-tier contingent on Tuesday as Barnsley won 3-0 against Bristol Rovers at Oakwell while 10-man Wednesday saw their unbeaten start come to an end as they lost 2-0 at Peterborough United.
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Hide AdGoals from Devante Cole, Jordan Williams and Josh Benson earned a comfortable victory for the Tykes.
In Peterborough, Reece James saw red as Sheffield Wednesday suffered a first defeat. That was not the end of the drama as Wednesday assistant boss Jamie Smith was cautioned for a confrontation with his own player George Byers – who had been withdrawn as the visitors reorganised – moments later.
Jonson Clarke-Harris and Jack Taylor scored second-half goals to earn three points for the hosts.
Elsewhere, Derby County played out a 0-0 draw with Shrewsbury Town while Bolton Wanderers edged past Morecambe.
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Hide AdIpswich Town remained top with a 1-0 win at Burton Albion while there were big wins for Portsmouth and Charlton Athletic who beat Cambridge United and Plymouth Argyle 4-1 and 5-1 respectively.
With an explanation of how the predictions model works HERE, here’s where data experts are tipping every team to finish and how many points they will get in League One this season…
| Team | Points | Promoted | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County | 87 | 50% | <1% |
| Ipswich Town | 86 | 47% | <1% |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 83 | 41% | <1% |
| Portsmouth | 77 | 26% | 1% |
| Barnsley | 76 | 26% | 1% |
| Bolton Wanderers | 76 | 24% | 2% |
| Peterborough United | 71 | 16% | 3% |
| Charlton Athletic | 69 | 12% | 5% |
| MK Dons | 67 | 11% | 6% |
| Oxford United | 64 | 8% | 8% |
| Wycombe Wanderers | 63 | 7% | 10% |
| Lincoln City | 63 | 6% | 10% |
| Shrewsbury Town | 61 | 6% | 11% |
| Plymouth Argyle | 61 | 5% | 13% |
| Exeter City | 58 | 3% | 17% |
| Forest Green | 58 | 3% | 20% |
| Bristol Rovers | 55 | 2% | 23% |
| Fleetwood Town | 54 | 2% | 25% |
| Accrington Stanley | 53 | 2% | 28% |
| Cambridge United | 52 | 1% | 29% |
| Port Vale | 48 | <1% | 39% |
| Cheltenham Town | 48 | <1% | 39% |
| Burton Albion | 44 | <1% | 51% |
| Morecambe | 42 | <1% | 56% |